Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000098 0.000103 0.000109 0.000115 0.000122 0.000130 0.000138
2025-01-19 0.000087 0.000094 0.000102 0.000112 0.000123 0.000136 0.000152
2025-01-26 0.000079 0.000087 0.000096 0.000107 0.000121 0.000136 0.000157
2025-02-02 0.000075 0.000084 0.000095 0.000108 0.000124 0.000144 0.000171
2025-02-09 0.000073 0.000083 0.000095 0.000110 0.000129 0.000154 0.000189
2025-02-16 0.000071 0.000082 0.000095 0.000112 0.000134 0.000163 0.000207
2025-02-23 0.000072 0.000083 0.000098 0.000117 0.000144 0.000180 0.000238
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000080 0.000094 0.000114 0.000141 0.000180 0.000244
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000076 0.000090 0.000110 0.000138 0.000178 0.000245
2025-03-16 0.000063 0.000074 0.000089 0.000110 0.000139 0.000183 0.000259
2025-03-23 0.000062 0.000074 0.000090 0.000112 0.000144 0.000194 0.000284
2025-03-30 0.000060 0.000072 0.000088 0.000110 0.000144 0.000197 0.000295
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000069 0.000084 0.000107 0.000141 0.000195 0.000298
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000066 0.000082 0.000104 0.000139 0.000194 0.000305
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000063 0.000078 0.000100 0.000133 0.000189 0.000301
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000100 0.000136 0.000197 0.000326
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000062 0.000078 0.000102 0.000141 0.000209 0.000364
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000062 0.000078 0.000104 0.000146 0.000222 0.000406
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000063 0.000081 0.000108 0.000156 0.000248 0.000491
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000106 0.000153 0.000245 0.000497
2025-06-01 0.000047 0.000059 0.000075 0.000102 0.000149 0.000239 0.000491
2025-06-08 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075 0.000102 0.000150 0.000246 0.000527
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075 0.000104 0.000155 0.000262 0.000600